Мај 2014: Економски расположение се крева во еврозоната, останува широко стабилен во ЕУ

Во мај, на Индикатор за економски чувства (ESI) rose in the eurozone (by 0.7 points to 102.7), following its almost tantamount decrease in April. In the EU, the headline indicator remained broadly stable (+0.2 points at 106.5).

Economic sentiment indicator (s.a.)

April EU: 106.5 - Eurozone: 102.7

Eurozone developments

In the eurozone, improved sentiment was driven by higher confidence among consumers as well as industry and construction managers. Confidence in services and retail trade remained (broadly) unchanged compared to April. Amongst the five largest eurozone economies, the ESI increased in Spain (+0.4), Italy (+0.5), Germany (+0.7) and, particularly, the Netherlands (+1.3). Only France saw sentiment slightly declining (-0.4).

The moderate increase in industry confidence (+0.5) was backed by managers' more optimistic очекувањата производство and a brighter appraisal of the current level of overall order books. Проценката на Залихите на готовите производи remained virtually unchanged. Of the questions not included in the confidence indicator, the level of минатото, производството and, to a lesser extent, the current level of книги извоз цел were viewed more positively. The broadly flat development in services confidence (+0.3) resulted from managers' more positive appraisal of the past business situation   past demand being partially offset by lower demand expectations. Доверба на потрошувачите brightened (+1.5) thanks to consumers' more optimistic assessment of all components of the confidence indicator (future unemployment, expectations on savings, future general economic situation, expected financial situation). The flat development in retail trade confidence (±0.0) was the result of a strong increase in managers' appraisal of the present business situation that was fully absorbed by a more negative assessment of both the volume of stocks и expected business situation. The slight improvement in construction confidence (+ 0.4) беше поддржан од managers' more optimistic views on employment expectations, while their assessment of the level of книги цел влошена. Financial services confidence (not included in the ESI) saw another steep increase (+6.2). Important improvements were registered in all three components of the confidence indicator (past business situation, past demand  demand expectations).

Employment plans increased in construction and industry, while deteriorating in retail trade and, particularly, services. Selling price expectations were revised upwards in construction and services, while declining in retail trade. No significant changes were envisaged in industry. After three decreases in a row, price expectations of consumers rose.

Маркетинг

EU developments

The headline indicator for the EU remained broadly stable (+0.2), reflecting slipping sentiment in the largest non-eurozone EU economy (UK, -1.0). Sentiment in Poland was flat (±0.0). In line with the eurozone results, confidence in the EU improved among consumers and in financial services. By contrast, while EU confidence increased in retail trade, developments in the other business sectors were worse than in the eurozone.

Consumers' views on future unemployment as well as managers' employment plans in construction and services for the eurozone were paralleled on the EU-level. Contrasting with the eurozone, EU managers in industry revised their employment expectations downwards, while EU employment plans in retail trade were assessed more positively.

As for price expectations, EU results were similar to the developments in the eurozone, except for a downward revision of selling price expectations in services.

Industrial confidence indicator (s.a.)

April EU: -1.8 - Eurozone: -3.0

Service confidence indicator (s.a.)

Април EU: 8.2 - Eurozone: 3.8

Consumer confidence indicator (s.a.)

April EU: -4.1 - Eurozone: -7.1

Retail trade confidence indicator (s.a.)

April EU: 4.1 - Eurozone: -2.5

Construction confidence indicator (s.a.)

Април EU: -25.6 - Eurozone: -30.0

Financial services confidence indicator (n.s.a.)

April EU: 21.9 - Eurozone: 17.1

The next Business and Consumer Survey is due to be published on 27 June 2014.

Full tables are available on:

http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/db_indicators/surveys/index_en.htm

Закажани датуми за објавување

Споделете ја оваа статија: